BP神经网络模型在重庆伏旱预测中的应用研究   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

李永华  刘德  金龙  高阳华 《气象》2003,29(12):14-17

采用气象要素定义伏旱指数，利用小波分析等方法分析重庆地区伏旱变化特征，最后采用BP神经网络模型对伏旱进行预测试验，结果表明，重庆伏旱变化具有明显的阶段性特征，而基于BP神经网络模型的伏旱预测模型预测效果良好，可以应用于实际预测。  相似文献   

A　Comparative　Study　of　the　Atmospheric　Layers　below　First　Lifting　Condensation　Level　for　Instantaneous　Pre-Monsoon　Thunderstorm　Ocurence　at　Agartala(23°30′N,91°15′E)　and　Ranchi(23°14′N,85°14′E)　of　India     

Sarbari Ghosh  Utpal Kumar De Atmospheric Science Research  Department of Physics  Jadavpur University  Calcutta  India Received April    revised July   《大气科学进展》1997,(1)

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埋藏条件下碳酸盐岩实验室溶蚀作用模拟的热力学模型与地质勘探方向——以陕甘宁盆地下奥陶统马家沟组第五段为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

肖林萍 《沉积与特提斯地质》1997,(4)

陕甘宁盆地下奥陶统马家沟组五段为潮坪相碳酸盐岩夹蒸发盐沉积。马五段经历了多期复杂的成岩作用，其中溶蚀作用对马五段影响深刻。首次引用热力学理论对埋藏条件下碳酸盐岩溶蚀作用进行了理论分析和计算。其结果表明碳酸盐岩在埋藏成岩的不同温度压力条件下，酸性介质中溶解反应的吉布斯自由能均为负值，说明反应可自动向方解石、白云石溶解的方向进行，并随着温压的升高溶解的趋势增大，而且白云石溶解的趋势比方解石更大。碳酸盐岩溶蚀作用是受热力学规律支配的自然地质作用。碳酸盐岩溶蚀实验模拟的热力学数学模型对陕甘宁盆地油气田勘探具有重大的理论意义和实际应用价值。  相似文献   

THE RETREAT OF THE FOREST IN SOUTHEAST ASIA: A CARTOGRAPHIC ASSESSMENT     

Stéphane Bernard  Rodolphe De  Koninck 《Singapore journal of tropical geography》1997,17(1):1-14

Rapid deforestation is a major problem throughout the tropical world. The conditions and the pace under which societies and economies of the Third World are currently evolving and growing, combined with the specificities of tropical forests, render the latter increasingly vulnerable. Among the major tropical areas of the world, Southeast Asia is perhaps the one where these conditions have had the most impact on the retreat of the forest cover over the last quarter of this century. This is illustrated through the presentation of two maps of the distribution of five basic forest formations in Southeast Asia circa 1970 and circa 1990. The maps are examined and compared, as well as confronted with statistical assessments of deforestation. Finally, the complex causes behind the retreat of the tropical forests as well as the implications of this retreat are briefly discussed.  相似文献   

A simple approach to the transformation of spherical harmonic models under coordinate system rotation     

A. De Santis  J. M. Torta  C. Falcone 《Geophysical Journal International》1996,126(1):263-270

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Primary minerals of Zn-Pb mining and metallurgical dumps and their environmental behavior at Plombières,Belgium     

H. Kucha  A. Martens  R. Ottenburgs  W. De Vos  W. Viaene 《Environmental Geology》1996,27(1):1-15

The primary phases and minerals of the Plombières dumps include typical smelting furnace products such as metallic Fe, Pb, Cu, Zn, Fe-Zn alloys, carbides, phosphides, sulfides of Fe, Zn, Pb, Cu, Mn (alabandite), and FeAs. Spinels, mainly of Fe and Al, are common constituents of the primary assemblage; substitution by Zn, V, Cr, Ti, Mg, and Ca occurs. Primary phases also include the most common Zn-rich fayalite, Zn-rich Ca-Fe silicates, melilite, corundum, and apatite. Most of the Zn is incorporated in iron silicates, ZnO and ZnS. Lead occurs mainly as PbS, metallic lead, and is also present in coal residues. Cadmium is found mainly in metallic zinc and its alloys and in ZnO. The dumps also contain mining wastes composed of pyrite, melnikovite, and iron oxides produced by natural weathering of Zn-Pb ores. Melnikovite and iron oxides are rich in As, Pb, and Zn and possess an increased content of Tl. Leaching tests carried out on the surfaces of polished sections indicate that acid rain (solutions I and II) will mobilize mainly Zn and Cd and, to a much smaller extent, Pb and Sb. Leaching of metals by sulfate-chloride fluids present in the pore network of dumps (solutions III, IV, and V) depends on the pH, which in the dumps is controlled by the proportion of carbonates to sulfides. The more acid fluids leach both sulfides and silicates.  相似文献   

Groundwater Contamination by Nitrates in the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Julia Pacheco A.  Armando Cabrera S. 《Hydrogeology Journal》1997,5(2):47-53

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Evolution of sand waves in the Messina Strait, Italy   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

V. C. Santoro  E. Amore  L. Cavallaro  M. De Lauro 《Ocean Dynamics》2004,54(3-4):392-398

In the present paper the morphodynamics of sand waves in the Messina Strait, Italy, is analysed by comparing data gathered during two different surveys carried out in 1991 and 2001, respectively. In particular, a morphometric analysis on the most recent data and a qualitative analysis of the differences between bottom bedform patterns, are carried out. At locations characterised by greater depths, only minor changes to the planimetric configuration of the field, i.e. crest orientation (which is seen to be orthogonal to the direction of net gross sand transport) and wave length are observed, while differences in wave length and crest direction are more evident in more shallow areas. On the other hand, wave height has significantly increased in the whole field. A possible explanation of such a change, based on the previsions of a theory which relates sand-wave growth and migration to the main components of the tidal ellipse, is provided.Responsible Editor: Jens Kappenberg  相似文献   

Distribution, abundance and life history of Mysis relicta (Lovén) in the Feldberg Lake District, Germany     

Julia Scharf  Rainer Koschel 《Limnologica》2004,34(3):199-212

Distribution, abundance and life history characteristics of Mysis relicta were studied in the Feldberg Lake District (Lake Breiter Luzin, Lake Schmaler Luzin, Lake Zansen) located in northeastern Germany. Between July 2001 and November 2002 mysids were collected by vertical net hauls. In order to determine the impact of the current trophic conditions on the distribution of mysids in these lakes, oxygen concentration, total phosphorus, chlorophyll a and water transparency were also measured. All investigated lakes are mesotrophic at present. Lake Breiter Luzin exhibited great seasonal and spatial variations in mysid abundance. Density of adults and juveniles had a mean of 44.9 ± 57.1 and 68.7 ± 99.6 m⁻², respectively. Highest abundance of adults was 110.4 ± 76.5 m⁻² in summer, lowest abundances of 2.0 ± 4.0 m⁻² occurred in spring. For juveniles, highest density of 218.4 ± 174.6 m⁻² was detected in summer and lowest of 0.8 ± 1.8 m⁻² in winter. No mysids were caught in any of the daytime hauls, but they were widely distributed throughout the water column at night. Size frequency distribution of mysids suggested that reproduction occurred year-round, the most consistent influx of juveniles occurred in early summer and a smaller second cohort in autumn. Highest mysid abundance was 189.2 ± 318.6 adults and 127.0 ± 66.3 juveniles m⁻² in Lake Schmaler Luzin, and 59.6 ± 5.6 adults and 79.4 ± 11.2 juveniles m⁻² in Lake Zansen. There were great spatial differences in abundance in both lakes.  相似文献   

Are open fractures necessarily aligned with maximum horizontal stress?     

Stephen E Laubach  Jon E Olson  Julia F.W Gale 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》2004,222(1):191-195

Fluid flow in fractured rock is an increasingly central issue in recovering water and hydrocarbon supplies and geothermal energy, in predicting flow of pollutants underground, in engineering structures, and in understanding large-scale crustal behaviour. Conventional wisdom assumes that fluids prefer to flow along fractures oriented parallel or nearly parallel to modern-day maximum horizontal compressive stress, or S_Hmax. The reasoning is that these fractures have the lowest normal stresses across them and therefore provide the least resistance to flow. For example, this view governs how geophysicists design and interpret seismic experiments to probe fracture fluid pathways in the deep subsurface. Contrary to these widely held views, here we use core, stress measurement, and fluid flow data to show that S_Hmax does not necessarily coincide with the direction of open natural fractures in the subsurface (>3 km depth). Consequently, in situ stress direction cannot be considered to predict or control the direction of maximum permeability in rock. Where effective stress is compressive and fractures are expected to be closed, chemical alteration dictates location of open conduits, either preserving or destroying fracture flow pathways no matter their orientation.  相似文献